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Weather Forecast

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Revision as of 11:41, 21 June 2011 by Anonymous (talk) (Types of Forecast)

Weather Forecast

A weather forecast is a statement of expected meteorological conditions for a specified time or period, and for a specified area or portion of airspace (ICAO Annex 3 - Meteorology)

A weather forecast is compiled by a weather forecaster or meteorological office based on a number of factors, which include the following:

  • Recent weather conditions,
  • Understanding of the processes that contribute to changing weather conditions,
  • Experience,
  • Statistical data,
  • Computer prediction,
  • Climatic factors.

Aeronautical weather forecasts contain some or all of the following information:

Weather Reports

Weather reports (METARs) are reports of actual weather conditions pertaining at specific locations, e.g. aerodromes, at specified times.

Types of Forecast

The following types of forecast are regularly used in aviation:

  • Aerodrome Forecast,
  • Route or Area Forecast,
  • Special Forecasts.

Aerodrome Forecast

An aerodrome forecast (TAF) consists of a concise statement of the expected meteorological conditions at an aerodrome for a specified period (ICAO Annex 3).

Aerodrome forecasts are issued in the TAF code form and include the following information in the order indicated:

a) Code name TAF/TAF AMD;
b) Location indicator;
c) Date and time of origin of forecast;
d) Date and period of validity of forecast;
e) Surface Wind;
f) Visibility;
g) Weather;
h) Cloud; and
i) Expected significant changes to one or more of these elements during the period of validity.